How is this even possible?

Chiddaling · 02-21-2012, 03:53 PM

5th time in a row....5TH TIME! A #34 Crate dropped. Why only this crate? NO IDEA. It flips me off to no end.

Raison d'être · 02-21-2012, 03:53 PM

Did you build a shrine to the Crate God?

DrScienceMan · 02-21-2012, 03:54 PM

The Random Number Generater. Fear it, for it is a monster that will reduce you to tears.

Chiddaling · 02-21-2012, 03:54 PM

I'm PACKIN these #34'S MANNN.....

Atylonisus · 02-21-2012, 03:55 PM

As Dilbert once wisely pointed out...

"that's the problem with random numbers: you never know if its a pattern or just highly coincidental"

I butchered the quote, but you get the idea.

Raison d'être · 02-21-2012, 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrScienceMan

The Random Number Generation. Fear it, for it is a monster that will reduce you to tears.

BLASPHEMER!

Fatty Corpuscle · 02-21-2012, 03:58 PM

OP, if it makes you feel any better, I just had one of these mythical #30 crates drop for me.

Chiddaling · 02-21-2012, 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fatty Corpuscle

OP, if it makes you feel any better, I just had one of these mythical #30 crates drop for me.

That's fine. A month ago I got 3 #30's in 1 week.

moussekateer · 02-21-2012, 04:10 PM

There's only 4 active crate series. Considering that one of them seems to be as rare as hats, you effectively have a chance of getting 1 out of 3 crates each time one drops. The probability of getting 5 in a row is (1/3)^4 (you don't count the first crate because it's the beginning of your streak and we're counting the odds of getting any 5 in a row). That's a 1/81 chance, or roughly 1.2%. That is nothing amazing.

DrScienceMan · 02-21-2012, 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiddaling

That's fine. A month ago I got 3 #30's in 1 week.

You are in no position whatsoever to complain about having bad luck right now.

Stripedy · 02-21-2012, 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrScienceMan

You are in no position whatsoever to complain about having bad luck right now.

captain obvious last sighted posting on spuf

Chiddaling · 02-21-2012, 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrScienceMan

You are in no position whatsoever to complain about having bad luck right now.

It was from 2 different accounts okay >:|

DrScienceMan · 02-21-2012, 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stripedy

captain obvious last sighted posting on spuf

Clearly the captain was needed, as the OP doesn't think it was obvious at all.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chiddaling

It was from 2 different accounts okay >:|

No, not OK. That's still 1.5 #30 crates per account in a week.

02-21-2012, 03:53 PM	#1
Chiddaling Join Date: Nov 2009 Reputation: 0 Posts: 7	How is this even possible? 5th time in a row....5TH TIME! A #34 Crate dropped. Why only this crate? NO IDEA. It flips me off to no end.

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02-21-2012, 03:53 PM	#2
Raison d'être Join Date: Feb 2011 Reputation: 2027 Posts: 4,572	Did you build a shrine to the Crate God?

02-21-2012, 03:54 PM	#3
DrScienceMan Join Date: Oct 2011 Reputation: 1109 Posts: 2,939	The Random Number Generater. Fear it, for it is a monster that will reduce you to tears.

02-21-2012, 03:55 PM	#5
Atylonisus Join Date: Oct 2010 Reputation: 987 Posts: 1,724	As Dilbert once wisely pointed out... "that's the problem with random numbers: you never know if its a pattern or just highly coincidental" I butchered the quote, but you get the idea.

02-21-2012, 03:58 PM	#7
Fatty Corpuscle Join Date: Feb 2010 Reputation: 1437 Posts: 3,842	OP, if it makes you feel any better, I just had one of these mythical #30 crates drop for me.

02-21-2012, 04:10 PM	#9
moussekateer Join Date: May 2010 Reputation: 319 Posts: 668	There's only 4 active crate series. Considering that one of them seems to be as rare as hats, you effectively have a chance of getting 1 out of 3 crates each time one drops. The probability of getting 5 in a row is (1/3)^4 (you don't count the first crate because it's the beginning of your streak and we're counting the odds of getting any 5 in a row). That's a 1/81 chance, or roughly 1.2%. That is nothing amazing.